This is one of the most intriguing matches of the round, pitting two teams of equal strength and points. Bookmakers favor Sparta, but this status appears highly questionable. The key factor will be the state of the Czech club's infirmary. The absence of several key players, especially in defense (Zeleny), seriously weakens the team ahead of a difficult trip to Romania. Craiova, on the other hand, is a fortress at home, as stats confirm. I expect a tactically nuanced, perhaps even tough, match, with each side more wary of losing than eager to win. Sparta will try to control the game, but without their leaders, it will be difficult. Craiova will rely on set pieces and counterattacks. Under these circumstances, an exchange of goals and a split of points is the most logical outcome, which will likely suit both teams in their battle for a playoff spot.

Last season, Slovan managed to reach the main stage of the Champions League, but never rose from the bottom of the table. This season, they were eliminated in the third qualifying round. It would seem they would have more chances to prove themselves in the Conference League, but that's not happening – the visitors are currently two points clear of the playoff zone. A home victory over Rayo Vallecano in the last round was a pleasant surprise for fans, but they are coming off two consecutive defeats. Furthermore, they have performed extremely poorly on the road in European competitions. Shkendija isn't much better, holding a one-point lead over their opponents, but they have looked more consistent. They have only lost a couple of their last nine games, and they haven't lost at home since the end of October. Once again, home support should be key to the outcome. The teams are unlikely to offer any exciting football; a single goal is more likely to decide the outcome.

The rivalry between Turkish and Greek clubs is crucial at every level. Samsunspor has been surprising for the second consecutive season in the Turkish league – they're currently in their sixth season, albeit quite far from the top three, but just one point behind fourth place. In this year's Conference League, Samsunspor leads, even ahead of Strasbourg. The Turks dropped points in the final round against Breidablik, but secured valuable victories over Dynamo Kyiv and Legia Warsaw. AEK Athens is well within the top three in the league, but trails Olympiakos and PAOK. Marko Nikolic has developed his signature pragmatic style of football, so the Athenians have a small goal difference (+9), and most of their victories feel strained. The team is mid-table in the Europa League. However, I expect the Greeks to hold their own and avoid defeat against the Turks.

11 грудня 2025 року на стадіоні імені Вазгена Саргсяна Анвана Ханрапетакана відбудеться матч Ліги конференцій Європи між «Ной» та «Легією» (Варшава). «Ной» зіткнувся з труднощами, зазнавши 3 поразок у своїх останніх 6 матчах у всіх лігах, незважаючи на те, що цього сезону здобув 8 перемог у 15 домашніх матчах. З іншого боку, «Легія» має труднощі в Лізі конференцій Європи, зазнавши 4 поразок в останніх 6 матчах, з показником поразок 50% у своїх останніх 6 виїзних матчах. У матчі, який обіцяє бути запеклим, наш алгоритм прогнозує нічию між «Ной» та «Легією» (Варшава) з ймовірністю 37%.

Jagiellonia are in trouble. Sure, they're unbeaten in the Conference League and have eight points, but they haven't faced any serious opponents either – perhaps only Strasbourg (1-1), against whom the Poles were extremely lucky. Domestically, Jagiellonia has lost two and drawn their last three matches. Their attack isn't impressive: they've scored more than one goal in only one of their last seven matches in all competitions. Pate Ciss and Randy Nteka are preparing for the African Cup of Nations; the match against Jagiellonia will be their last for Rayo Vallecano until 2025. However, even with them in the lineup, the Bees haven't impressed: they haven't won five straight Primera Division matches, lost to Slovan (1-2) in the last round of the Europa League, and only managed to defeat Real Ávila (2-1) in extra time in the Copa del Rey. Excluding cup matches, Rayo have gone five straight away without a win. Let's assume the teams draw.